SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
38.61% ( 0.08) | 24.13% ( -0.06) | 37.25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.3) | 41.53% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( 0.3) | 63.93% ( -0.3) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 0.17) | 21.58% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( 0.26) | 54.67% ( -0.27) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.12) | 22.27% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( 0.18) | 55.71% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.25% |
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