SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | De Graafschap |
55.16% ( -0.02) | 21.76% ( -0) | 23.08% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.43% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.05) | 38.31% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( 0.06) | 60.59% ( -0.06) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( 0.01) | 13.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.73% ( 0.02) | 41.27% ( -0.02) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.05) | 29.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.06) | 65.92% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 23.08% |
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