Go Ahead Eagles have stepped up when required in recent weeks, whereas Groningen have not. With the pressure off the home side, we expect them to record a relatively comfortable win, relegating their opponents in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
-0.08) 
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