FC Utrecht may have won their last five matches against Heerenveen, but the two sides are clearly very evenly-matched, given their respective league finishes last season, and we expect the spoils to be shared.
Heerenveen got off to the perfect start to the campaign, and their performance that day displayed they have what it takes to pick up at least a point at the Stadion Galgenwaard.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.12) 
