While Heerenveen have won both of their league matches so far, those were against sides that are expected to struggle this season. The visitors result last week would have given them huge belief that they can have a very good season, and we fancy they will take at least a share of the spoils in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.32) 
