With the two lowest-scoring sides in the top 10 facing off against each other, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair with the home side narrowly getting the job done in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
-0.36) 
0.28) 
