With the two lowest-scoring sides in the top 10 facing off against each other, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair with the home side narrowly getting the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
48.77% ( -0.36)	23.87% ( 0.28)	27.36% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.95% (

-1.22)

44.04% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.57% (

-1.2)

66.43% (

1.2)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

-0.6)

18.18% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

-1.04)

49.17% (

1.04)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45% (

-0.58)

29.55% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-0.71)

65.57% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 48.77%

Go Ahead Eagles 27.36%

Draw 23.86%

Heerenveen	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.77%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.36%