SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
30.29% ( 0.18) | 22.25% ( 0.21) | 47.47% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.61% ( -0.95) | 34.39% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( -1.07) | 56.31% ( 1.08) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( -0.36) | 22.72% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( -0.54) | 56.39% ( 0.54) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.49) | 15.01% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.52% ( -0.93) | 43.47% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.29% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.47% |
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