SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 58.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.45% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 3-1 (7.01%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
58.4% ( 2.13) | 20.14% ( -0.03) | 21.45% ( -2.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.07% ( -2.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.45% ( -2.53) | 32.55% ( 2.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.79% ( -2.99) | 54.21% ( 3) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% ( -0.23) | 11.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.55% ( -0.52) | 35.45% ( 0.53) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -3.1) | 27.95% ( 3.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( -4.14) | 63.58% ( 4.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.85)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.83)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.09% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.14% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.45% Total : 21.45% |
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