Both teams will be looking to serve up a quick response to last week's disaster so we are expecting a closely-contested affair. However, we are backing Groningen to just about see off the threat of their visitors and carry the day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Groningen.
1.07) 
-0.31) 
