Sparta are now entering the last chance saloon to preserve their top-flight status, and anything short of a victory this weekend would be a huge setback. We fancy them to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
