SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Twente |
21.89% ( -0.17) | 21.96% ( -0.1) | 56.15% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( 0.23) | 40.7% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.23) | 63.09% ( -0.23) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.02) | 32.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.02) | 68.7% ( 0.03) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 0.17) | 14.37% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( 0.32) | 42.25% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.89% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.15% |
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