Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Emmen |
43.07% ( 0.53) | 25.59% ( 0.06) | 31.34% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( -0.46) | 49.42% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( -0.41) | 71.46% ( 0.41) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( 0.06) | 22.84% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% ( 0.09) | 56.57% ( -0.09) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.62) | 29.49% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( -0.76) | 65.5% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.34% |
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