SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.81% ( 0.19) | 20.78% ( 0.03) | 59.41% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.92% ( 0.15) | 38.08% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.66% ( 0.16) | 60.35% ( -0.15) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( 0.28) | 32.68% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.78% ( 0.31) | 69.23% ( -0.3) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( -0.01) | 12.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.45% ( -0.04) | 38.55% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.81% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 59.41% |
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