SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NAC Breda |
59.33% ( 1.46) | 21.12% ( -0.44) | 19.55% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.53) | 40.05% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.55) | 62.41% ( -0.55) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( 0.61) | 13.18% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.11% ( 1.23) | 39.88% ( -1.23) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( -0.71) | 34.08% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.77) | 70.77% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.49% Total : 59.33% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.55% |
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