Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
1.37) 
-0.33) 
