SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
46.68% ( 1.37) | 24.19% ( -0.33) | 29.13% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.92) | 44.33% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.88) | 66.7% ( -0.88) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.95) | 19.13% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% ( 1.54) | 50.77% ( -1.54) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.25) | 28.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.31) | 64.19% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.13% |
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