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Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
H

Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Heerenveen

Both sides have had little trouble finding the back of the net of late, and we are expecting an entertaining clash. We can also see the hosts coming away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawHeerenveen
53.98% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.26% (0.146 0.15) 24.75% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 64.36% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)34.06% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-0.451 -0.45)55.94% (0.456 0.46)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)12.8% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)39.12% (0.547 0.55)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.98%
    Heerenveen 24.75%
    Draw 21.26%
NECDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Nijmegen
Tuesday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-2 AZ
Sunday, January 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


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