With the teams full of confidence from their respective last outings, a close encounter is expected here with chances at both ends. That said, we are tipping the home side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Vitesse
47.44% ( 0.4)	24.54% ( 0.15)	28.02% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

-0.99)

46.57% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.93)

68.85% (

0.93)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

-0.23)

19.71% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.28% (

-0.38)

51.72% (

0.38)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.9)

30.37% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-1.09)

66.57% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 47.44%

Vitesse 28.02%

Draw 24.54%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.44%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.02%