With the teams full of confidence from their respective last outings, a close encounter is expected here with chances at both ends. That said, we are tipping the home side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
0.4) 
-0.54) 
