Heracles
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle

de la Torre (19'), Bakis (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Heracles 1-0 PEC Zwolle

Both teams have struggled for goals all-season long, so we expect a low-scoring affair in this one with clear-cut chances at a premium. That said, we are also backing Heracles to narrowly edge out Zwolle by the odd goal and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	PEC Zwolle
55.96%	22.34%	21.7%

Both teams to score 56.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.32%

42.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.92%

65.09%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9%

15.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.35%

43.65%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5%

33.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86%

70.14%

Score Analysis

Heracles 55.96%

PEC Zwolle 21.7%

Draw 22.33%

Heracles	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.96%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 5.72% 0-1 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.7%