Both teams have had little difficulty finding the back of the net of late, and we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we are backing the home side to just about get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
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