Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
