SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Heracles |
32.6% ( 0.06) | 23.78% ( 0.02) | 43.62% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.06) | 40.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( -0.06) | 63.14% ( 0.06) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0) | 24.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( 0.01) | 58.9% ( -0.01) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.06) | 18.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.1) | 50.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.62% |
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