SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
25.61% ( -0.05) | 23.33% ( -0.01) | 51.06% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.02) | 43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( -0.02) | 65.4% ( 0.02) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.05) | 30.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( -0.06) | 66.52% ( 0.06) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( 0.01) | 16.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% ( 0.02) | 46.98% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.06% |
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