SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.37%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 20.31% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.28%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Heracles |
60.37% ( -0.47) | 19.32% ( 0.22) | 20.31% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 65.32% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( -0.73) | 30.16% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.88) | 51.39% ( 0.88) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.14% ( -0.33) | 9.86% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.29% ( -0.76) | 32.71% ( 0.76) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.22) | 27.53% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( -0.29) | 63.04% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.79% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.32% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 20.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
