Under new management, Utrecht took a positive step with a fine win on the road last week, and they may do so again here with the changes Jans has come in and made. The hosts have shown no real consistency, already losing three of their opening five games, and that run could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
47.13% ( 0.01)	23.03% ( -0.01)	29.83% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

0.03)

38.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19% (

0.03)

60.81% (

-0.03)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

0.02)

16.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.43% (

0.03)

46.57% (

-0.03)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.02)

25.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

0.02)

59.72% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

NEC 47.13%

FC Utrecht 29.83%

Draw 23.03%

NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 4.32% Total : 47.13%	1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.83%