Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
48.15% (![]() | 23.24% (![]() | 28.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.71% (![]() | 40.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% (![]() | 62.66% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% (![]() | 16.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% (![]() | 47.09% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% (![]() | 26.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% (![]() | 62.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 10.62% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.61% |
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