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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
37.73% ( 0.27) | 24.38% ( 0.18) | 37.89% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.85) | 42.72% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.85) | 65.13% ( 0.85) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% ( -0.37) | 56.15% ( 0.37) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.6) | 22.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.9) | 56.02% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89% |
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