SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
45.66% ( 0.94) | 22.93% ( -0.04) | 31.4% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.75% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.2) | 37.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.6% ( -0.21) | 59.4% ( 0.21) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( 0.28) | 16.73% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( 0.5) | 46.65% ( -0.5) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( -0.61) | 23.44% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( -0.9) | 57.44% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.36% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 31.4% |
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