SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
54.14% ( -0.24) | 22.55% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.2) | 41.75% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.2) | 64.15% ( -0.2) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0.01) | 15.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( -0.02) | 44.19% ( 0.02) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( 0.3) | 31.55% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( 0.35) | 67.94% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.31% |
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