SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
16.65% ( 0.04) | 18.76% ( -0.17) | 64.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.24% ( 0.94) | 33.76% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.4% ( 1.06) | 55.59% ( -1.06) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( 0.63) | 33.38% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( 0.69) | 70.01% ( -0.7) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.11% ( 0.29) | 9.88% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.23% ( 0.68) | 32.76% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 16.65% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.2)0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
