Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
