NEC boast arguably the better of the two squads, but Waalwijk's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be anything but straightforward. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and come away with honours even in the end.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.07) 
