Given their hectic fixture schedule, AZ will not be as sharp as they could be for this fixture. However, they should still have too much quality in their ranks for RKC, whose inconsistency seems likely to continue.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
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