SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 4.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
86.79% ( 0.56) | 8.74% ( -0.33) | 4.48% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.67) | 21.28% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.92) | 39.89% ( -0.91) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.79% ( 0.19) | 3.21% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.76% ( 0.61) | 14.24% ( -0.61) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.23) | 47.65% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.02% ( -0.18) | 82.98% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 3-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)7-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)6-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.45% Total : 86.78% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.83% Total : 8.74% | 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.48% |
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