SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heracles |
30.17% ( 0.09) | 22.94% ( 0.12) | 46.89% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.52) | 37.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.56) | 60.11% ( 0.55) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.2) | 24.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( -0.28) | 58.97% ( 0.28) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( -0.28) | 16.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.71% ( -0.5) | 46.28% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.17% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.42% Total : 46.89% |
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