Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Willem II |
42.86% ( 0.31) | 24% ( 0.14) | 33.12% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 60.59% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.34% ( -0.81) | 41.66% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.94% ( -0.83) | 64.06% ( 0.82) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( -0.2) | 19.66% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% ( -0.33) | 51.65% ( 0.32) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( -0.65) | 24.58% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( -0.91) | 59.07% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.87% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.12% |
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