Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
51.66% ( 0.16) | 24.81% ( -0.01) | 23.53% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% ( -0.11) | 51.18% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( -0.1) | 73.03% ( 0.09) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.19% ( 0.02) | 19.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% ( 0.03) | 51.87% ( -0.04) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( -0.2) | 36.53% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( -0.2) | 73.32% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.53% |
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