Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	SBV Excelsior
44.75%	24.06%	31.18%

Both teams to score 59.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3%

42.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9%

65.1%

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72%

19.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98%

51.01%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73%

26.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62%

61.37%

Score Analysis

Almere City 44.76%

SBV Excelsior 31.18%

Draw 24.06%

Almere City	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.22% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 7.45% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.18%