SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.49%) and 1-3 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
26.64% ( 0.06) | 21.3% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 66.27% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.02) | 32.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.02) | 54.04% ( 0.02) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( 0.04) | 58.23% ( -0.04) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( -0.03) | 12.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.86% ( -0.06) | 39.14% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.06% |
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