With the visitors being in the better form, they will fancy their chances of collecting another three points on Wednesday. However, Utrecht are a solid team on home territory, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
54.87% ( -0.72)	23.65% ( 0.36)	21.48% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

-1.11)

48.63% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25% (

-1.02)

70.75% (

1.01)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-0.66)

17.6% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.83% (

-1.16)

48.17% (

1.16)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-0.27)

37.06% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-0.27)

73.85% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 54.87%

SBV Excelsior 21.48%

Draw 23.65%

FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.87%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65%	0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.48%