SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
54.87% ( -0.72) | 23.65% ( 0.36) | 21.48% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -1.11) | 48.63% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( -1.02) | 70.75% ( 1.01) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.66) | 17.6% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -1.16) | 48.17% ( 1.16) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.27) | 37.06% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( -0.27) | 73.85% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.48% |
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