SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
32.65% ( -0.06) | 24.58% ( 0.16) | 42.77% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( -0.77) | 44.51% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( -0.75) | 66.88% ( 0.74) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.41) | 26.23% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.55) | 61.33% ( 0.54) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( -0.37) | 20.9% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( -0.58) | 53.61% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.77% |
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