SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.14% ( -1.7) | 23.67% ( -0.3) | 40.19% ( 2) |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 1.35) | 39.33% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 1.4) | 61.66% ( -1.4) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( -0.25) | 21.84% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( -0.38) | 55.07% ( 0.38) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 1.53) | 19.88% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( 2.42) | 52% ( -2.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.19% |
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