AEK Larnaca comfortably got past the Ukrainian outfit when they last met in August, and with home advantage in the first leg and the visitors lacking match sharpness, we can only envisage another relatively routine victory for Oltra's men on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Larnaca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AEK Larnaca.

Result
AEK Larnaca	Draw	Dnipro-1
43.53% ( 0)	26.56%	29.91%

Both teams to score 50.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04% (

53.96% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

75.4% (

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

24.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89% (

59.11%

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19%

32.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62%

69.37% (

Score Analysis

AEK Larnaca 43.53%

Dnipro-1 29.91%

Draw 26.56%

AEK Larnaca	Draw	Dnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.53%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.91%