SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Villarreal |
28.65% ( 0.2) | 27.69% ( 0.04) | 43.66% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% ( -0.05) | 58.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% ( -0.04) | 79.21% ( 0.04) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( 0.13) | 36.27% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% ( 0.13) | 73.06% ( -0.13) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.14) | 26.68% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0.19) | 61.93% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.66% |
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