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Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
Brann

FT(HT: 0-0)
Castro (59')
Castro (31'), Horneland (32'), Heltne Nilsen (45+2'), Pallesen Knudsen (65')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between AZ Alkmaar and SK Brann.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawSK Brann
52.18%20.43%27.39%
Both teams to score 70.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.6%27.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.01%47.99%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93%11.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.57%35.43%
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15%20.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46%53.55%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 52.18%
    SK Brann 27.39%
    Draw 20.43%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 5.59%
1-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.1%
4-1 @ 3.54%
4-2 @ 2.77%
4-0 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-3 @ 1.45%
5-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 6.87%
3-3 @ 2.63%
0-0 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-1 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-2 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.41%
1-4 @ 1.28%
3-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.39%

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