SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 21.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Arouca win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | SK Brann |
21.26% ( -0.15) | 20.49% ( -0) | 58.25% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.2) | 34.53% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.54% ( -0.22) | 56.46% ( 0.22) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.25) | 29.26% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( -0.3) | 65.21% ( 0.3) |
| SK Brann Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( -0.02) | 11.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( -0.04) | 36.88% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | SK Brann |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 21.26% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.71% 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.25% |
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