SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SK Brann | Draw | Arouca |
64.08% ( -0.42) | 19.17% ( 0.04) | 16.75% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.37% ( 0.52) | 35.63% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.31% ( 0.58) | 57.68% ( -0.58) |
| SK Brann Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( 0.04) | 10.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.74% ( 0.1) | 34.25% ( -0.11) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.76) | 34.45% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 0.8) | 71.16% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| SK Brann | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 64.08% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 16.75% |
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