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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
3 - 1
Omonia

Millar (19'), Arthur (41' pen.), Zhegrova (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gomez (27' pen.)
Gomez (40'), Berg (74'), Duris (90+2')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Basel and Omonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawOmonia
61.12%24.6%14.28%
Both teams to score 37.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.45%61.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6%81.4%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.41%
Omonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.46%53.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.01%86.99%
Score Analysis
    Basel 61.11%
    Omonia 14.28%
    Draw 24.59%
BaselDrawOmonia
1-0 @ 17.27%
2-0 @ 13.84%
2-1 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 4.62%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 61.11%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 3.37%
0-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.28%

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