Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.