We expect Basel to claim a hard-fought victory at home on Thursday.
Slovan Bratislava are likely to make life difficult for them given their desire to avoid defeat, but the hosts should have too much quality for them in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
