Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Trabzonspor |
48.94% ( -0) | 23.27% ( -0.01) | 27.78% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% ( 0.05) | 41.01% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% ( 0.05) | 63.4% ( -0.05) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.02) | 16.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( 0.03) | 47.05% ( -0.03) |
Trabzonspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( 0.04) | 27.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( 0.05) | 63.22% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Basel | Draw | Trabzonspor |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 4.12% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.78% |
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