SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Servette had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
57.85% ( -0.03) | 21.78% ( 0.01) | 20.36% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.09% ( -0.03) | 41.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( -0.03) | 64.3% ( 0.03) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( -0.02) | 14.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.02% ( -0.04) | 41.98% ( 0.04) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( -0) | 34.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( -0) | 71.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 20.36% |
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