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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
CL

Newcastle
2 - 0
Chelsea

Isak (23'), Disasi (26' og.)
Schar (16'), Longstaff (19'), Gordon (52'), Pope (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Badiashile (29'), Felix (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.48%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
35.82% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 22.19% (0.104 0.1) 41.99% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 68.28% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06% (-0.514 -0.51)31.93% (0.512 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.51% (-0.605 -0.61)53.49% (0.603 0.6)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.215 -0.22)18.66% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-0.366 -0.37)49.99% (0.366 0.37)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.262 -0.26)16.05% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (-0.482 -0.48)45.41% (0.481 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.82%
    Chelsea 41.99%
    Draw 22.19%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Newcastle
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-4 Chelsea
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea
Sunday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Gent
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Brighton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League


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