SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.48%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
35.82% ( 0.03) | 22.19% ( 0.1) | 41.99% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 68.28% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.51) | 31.93% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.61) | 53.49% ( 0.6) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -0.22) | 18.66% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% ( -0.37) | 49.99% ( 0.37) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( -0.26) | 16.05% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.58% ( -0.48) | 45.41% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.99% |
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